Updated: Apr 5, 2018
My computer has just had a total overhaul reformat. It was weird having nothing to do but just read my tablet. Still, it gave me a chance to catch up. I found a whole series of blogs from the LSE (London School of Economics). What amazed me most was their date, a few days before the referendum. The articles put together the picture of Brexit as seen from the point of view the Europeans. It started off bleakly for them. The truth be told they were terrified immediately after the referendum, although, unlike the UK, they did plan for Brexit. Within hours they moved to minimize the damage. The articles contained a number of predictions about how things could go, and the period of forecast is now behind us.
Basically, the predictions fell into two categories, and fell into the category of "what doesn't kill you makes you stronger". They faced those demons in 2017 and survived. From the Dutch PM withstanding extremists, to the election of Macron to Austria and even, in a way, the election of the Italian PM. The message is clear, "you know what we'll keep the EU thank you". That said, if the LSE papers continue to hold true then in a way it is already too late for the UK. The damage has been done.
From the Goldman Sachs president expressing satisfaction about Frankfurt to the announcement of the moving of the European Medicines Agency and the European Banking Authority back to the continent, Britain is moving lower and lower on the list of importance to the world. Both these agencies are critical to the UK and either it will have to take on thousands of new staff and make its own institutions or else commute to the continent and subject itself the the ECJ. Either way the UK loses.
But what I find almost sickening is the pure lies of the Tories. The EU has already announced 0% tariffs on goods. Big deal, they are still subject to border checks and delays on quality control of goods entering. May has already told Britain they are not going to get what they want on the services front. That's, what, 60-70% of UK income outside the agreement. Does it really matter if its 50 or 60 or 70% ?
No one has come up with a solution to the Irish border although I heard a hint on Daily Politics today that someone in Whitehall is making a plan for putting it in the Irish sea. Scotland is just standing by, and the fishermen have put all their faith in a government that has already sold them out.
Meanwhile the government is again trying to steal Labour's policies, because local elections are just around the corner. And the rest of Britain is happily playing away its fiddle while all around is burning. From the NHS to the military and still no satisfactory answer by May about where all the money is going to come from for the miracles she's going to pull off. Nurses and psychiatrists galore. The economy is strong now. Its weaker than any other Western country, but that OK, because it is now a wonderful 1.9% GDP growth and below the rate of inflation.
Prices aren't as bad as feared, still way above the average pay rise. The only thing the Tories can point to as a pseudo success is the unemployment figures which I still maintain are nothing more than swiz! How many people working today are happy with the employment they are in? In a full economy, it is theoretically possible to move from job to job. It should be a labour market! Really! Gee who would have thunk it?
The EU is strong now. Just look at how much May needed them in this her hour of Russian need. (This whole Russian debacle is blowing way out of proportion. So much so the next blog is on that)
As for each the EU 27 and their disunity, as usual Britain is misreading the writing on the wall. Of course they are squabbling, as would anyone when confronted with freebies being thrown out into the public. Each is in it for what they can get, if not from the UK then from the EU. But that's as far as it goes. Nobody is talking about going home, nobody is thinking of leaving the union. At this hour in the negotiations what is needed is discipline. The EU has it, but where is it for the UK?
Wake up Britain. Time to take control of the wheel before the politicians drive us all off the cliff!
SIGN OUR PETITION TO GET YOUR VOTE BACK!
Since you are here, perhaps you would consider signing the petition to return the final vote on Brexit to the people. We need a lot of votes, so if you agree help pass the message around. Whatever side of the Brexit fence your on, it can't hurt.
We now know that nobody can negotiate a decent Brexit! It is an impossibility ... and so what I am suggesting is to put the question back to the people in the form of a final vote on the Brexit deal. Not a necessarily a referendum, because many believe that is a binary tool (actually they are wrong) and this is a non-binary problem. What I am proposing is a vote. To be held in Early November latest, with a three-way question.
Accept whatever deal is being proposed and leave in an orderly manner
Reject the deal and simply leave, opting for the NO DEAL option
Accepting that any Brexit is too detrimental, therefore choosing cancelling Brexit
Consider what could happen. If the vote shows a 50% majority for anybody then the question is settled. If you believe in British democracy, just take the winner, but if you are a true democrat then opt for a second round, just like the rest of the civilized world.
Likely it would not and then, just like the elections in many countries, it goes to a second round, with only the top two options going forward. If the two options don't include staying in the EU then the choice will simply be between hard - soft Brexit (or whatever is your preferred nomenclature for the options.)
Most likely, the result will include staying in the EU and one other. If the other is a hard Brexit, then those who voted 'soft' will be obliged to decide in the second round, either 'stay' in the EU or accept crashing out (a 'hard' Brexit). If on the other hand it is the hard Brexiteers that lose out on the first round they will either have to accept an orderly 'soft' Brexit or 'stay' in the EU. In this way nobody can say this is undemocratic or that they don't have a chance at a Brexit of their choice.
All those who still insist the people have already spoken are doing nothing but risking the entire future of the United Kingdom, from Ireland to Scotland and Gibraltar, from Tory to Labour.
The man in the photo is Lord Kerr. He wrote the Article 50, never once thinking it was his own team that would invoke it. Lord Kerr, a former UK ambassador to the E.U; said Brexiteers in May’s cabinet were suggesting Brexit was irreversible and thereby misleading the public.
This former diplomat says the UK could opt to reverse Brexit up to the moment it leaves, even if a date for the country’s departure from European Union were added to the withdrawal bill, as Theresa May plans.
This is the only way to truly know what the people want and to unite the country again. Everybody, knowing the consequences, takes an informed decision. These are the options, this is the price! - DECIDE -.
Ask yourselves, do you really trust a politician, some of whom take donations from the Russians, to take what is almost certainly the most important decision of your and YOUR CHILDREN'S lives for you?
Tell your friends. Tell your family. Tell your fellow students. This sale is only on until March 29th, 2019. (Actually, if a transition period is negotiated it could be longer but I wouldn't risk it). Before Mar 29th 2019, even the EU can't stop a reversal. After that who knows) Vote the way you think and then its in the lap of the gods!
Sign Petition: https://t.co/Wo8DgvjjYN